There is no single, reliable score that tells you how dangerous a country or city is for every kind of crisis. A place can face high flood exposure but have strong defences, or face conflict nearby while having strong emergency services. This atlas separates the main risk types so you can understand what the evidence does, and does not, say.
First, a crucial distinctionHazard is what could happen, such as a flood, earthquake, heatwave or armed conflict. Exposure is the people and infrastructure in harm's way. Vulnerability is how badly they could be affected. Response capacity is how well people and services can prepare, respond and recover.
Risk depends on all of these. This page is an orientation guide, not a live warning, a precise city-level prediction, a nuclear target map or a ranking of places likely to be attacked.
⚔️Conflict & security
Armed conflict and regional spillover
What to examine: active fighting, displacement, border proximity, disruption to transport and essential services.
Conflict risk is highly time-sensitive and can change rapidly. National peace indices help compare broad conditions, but they are not a forecast of where violence will happen and do not describe every city equally. A country average may conceal areas facing very different circumstances.
Useful for: understanding broad security context. For travel or immediate safety decisions, check current official travel advice, local authorities and trusted humanitarian updates.
Global Peace Index ↗UNHCR emergencies ↗
🌋Natural hazards
Earthquakes, storms, floods and other hazards
Illustrative examples: the Philippines faces multiple hazard types; flood risk also varies greatly within river basins and coastal regions.
Natural-hazard risk is not just how often a hazard occurs. It also depends on how many people and buildings are exposed, building quality, infrastructure, poverty, early warnings and the capacity to respond. The WorldRiskIndex combines exposure with societal vulnerability, but its country-level result should not be treated as a neighbourhood forecast.
Useful for: comparing broad national disaster-risk patterns, then checking local hazard maps and emergency plans for the specific address or area.
WorldRiskReport & Index ↗UNDRR risk metrics ↗
🌡️Climate exposure & resilience
Heat, drought, water stress and sea-level rise
Illustrative examples: low-lying coastal areas can face flood exposure; hot and dry regions can face water stress. Risks vary within countries.
Climate risk depends on the physical hazard, who and what is exposed, and the ability to adapt. ND-GAIN compares country vulnerability and readiness across food, water, health, ecosystems, human habitat and infrastructure. It is a climate-adaptation index, not a general safety score and not a prediction for a specific city.
Useful for: understanding long-term climate vulnerability and adaptation capacity. For a property or neighbourhood, use local flood, heat and water-risk information where available.
ND-GAIN methodology ↗UNDRR metrics and limits ↗
🧬Health & outbreaks
Outbreaks and pressure on health services
What to examine: disease surveillance, access to healthcare, vaccination, water and sanitation, population movement and health-system capacity.
International travel hubs may be important for disease surveillance because many people move through them, but that does not mean an outbreak will begin in a particular city. Country-level epidemic and humanitarian risk assessments can highlight structural pressures, while public-health agencies provide current alerts and guidance.
Useful for: following verified public-health updates, keeping routine vaccinations current and planning continuity for essential medicines.
WHO emergencies ↗INFORM risk assessments ↗
⚡Infrastructure & essential services
Power, water, communications and transport
Applies to every country; local dependencies matter more than a single global ranking.
Storms, floods, technical failures, cyber incidents or conflict can disrupt services. The effects depend on backup systems, repair capacity, network design and how dependent households are on electricity, mobile networks, water pumps or digital payments. Public global indices do not reliably tell you which individual street will lose service.
Useful for: identify local outage-alert services, understand which services your household depends on, keep essential contacts offline and build a modest emergency supply.
UK emergency preparedness ↗UNDRR ↗
🧭Putting the evidence together
Country profile versus city-level reality
Start with a country indicator, then narrow down to the region, city, neighbourhood and site.
INFORM Risk compares the risk of humanitarian crises and disasters that could overwhelm a country's response capacity, using hazards and exposure, vulnerability and lack of coping capacity. The WorldRiskIndex focuses on natural hazards and societal vulnerability. The Global Peace Index measures peacefulness, conflict and militarisation. ND-GAIN focuses on climate vulnerability and readiness. These tools answer different questions and should not be merged into one homemade “danger score”.
Best practice: compare like with like, check publication dates, read the method, and treat missing or low-resolution data as uncertainty rather than proof that a place is safe.
INFORM data & methodology ↗Global Peace Index ↗ND-GAIN ↗
Method note: the descriptions above summarise the purpose and limitations of the linked tools. The atlas does not currently calculate live scores. Always consult the linked source for its latest edition and date.